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UK Political Links
Suggestions and
Corrections:
UK Political links are
constantly being added and changed. To notify us of any interesting new political
or election web sites or any dead links please email us on support@ukelect.co.uk.
(Last update September 2025)
UK Election Results Sites - our pick of some of the best UK election
results sites
- BBC General Election 2024 Results
The BBC always provides detailed election data and analysis.
- Wikipedia General Election 2024 Results
Wikipedia is always comprehensive and up-to-date.
- Democracy Club / Who Can I Vote For - All UK Elections
Democracy Club / Who Can I Vote For provides extremely detailed candidate information and result data for all recent
UK elections and by-elections, including the
2024 UK General Election.
Includes candidate photos and statements - and even their record in office (where applicable).
- Election Polling
A site already looking forward to the 2029 election, showing targets and marginals for the
main parties for the next election. See, for example, Marginal Seats Battleground 2029,
including
- Watch the full results again on ITN (YouTube video)
Watch the results again, as they were declared on ITN, with guest commentators Nichola Sturgeon, George Osborne and Ed Balls
(ITN General Election 2024 programme: The Results, on YouTube)
- Watch the highlights of the results again on Channel 4 (YouTube video)
Watch the results again, as they were declared on Channel 4, with guest commentators Alastair Campbell and Rory Stewart
(Channel 4 General Election 2024 programme: Britain Decides, on YouTube)
- Sky News: What does the UK's political map look like after the election? (YouTube video)
From Sky News: What does the UK's political map look like after the 2024 election? (On YouTube)
- Election Night Guide from PoliticalBetting.com
Contributed by "pulpstar", aggregates seat by seat MRP predictions and relates them to likely declaration time
- Election Night Guide from PoliticalBetting.com - Sheet 1
From the above link, a spreadsheet showing forecasts for the likely early (before 2:30 a.m.) results in anticipated result declaration order, together with columns for the actual results.
- Election Night Guide from PoliticalBetting.com - Sheet 2
Following on from the above, the forecasts for the next batch of results, likely to be from 2:30 a.m. onwards, together with columns for the actual results.
- Aggregate of current election predictions
From Peter Inglesby, a useful aggregate of current UK General Election 2024 predictions
- The Economist UK Election 2024
This site includes data and forecasts from other sites in its calculations.
- Electoral Calculus 2024 General Election Forecast
Martin Baxter's popular site also includes options to create your own forecast.
- Elections Etc
Stephen Fisher's site combines data from a large amount of different sites to create a unified forecast.
This link is to the Sixth And Final Combined Forecast:
Elections Etc 6th And Final Combined 2024 General Election Forecast
- Survation 2024 General Election Forecast
Analysis of Survation's penultimate MRP Forecast - Check the site for anything more recent
- YouGov 2024 General Election
YouGov Election General Election 2024 page, including their most recent MRP poll.
- FocalData / Prolific UK General Election MRP
FocalData / Prolific UK General Election MRP.
- New Statesman - Britain Predicts
From The New Statesman, Britain Predicts claims to be the definitive forecasting model.
- Financial Times - Predict the UK General Election Result
From The Financial Times, predict the UK Gneral Election result
- Get Voting Tactical Voting site includes detailed MRP predictions
The Get Voting Tactical Voting site (which gives tactical voting recommendations for voters sceptical about Brexit)
includes MRP predictions for each constituency.
- UK Polling Report Forecast
UK Polling Report includes its own forecast, as well as a discussion of election related issues.
- Bradshaw's General Election Prediction Model
Bradshaw Advisory's General Election Prediction model.
- Principal Fish Forecast
Election maps showing the Principal Fish site's current forecast.
- Forecasts UK - "Predicting UK Elections since 2008"Includes latest forecast from site that claims to have one of the best track-records of election forecasting.
- Nigel Marriott's Blog - Final Forecast General Election forecast from
"An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future".
- UK-Elect Forecasts Main UK-Elect Forecasts Page
.. and as a postscript..
- How did the forecasters do in 2019?
Chart showing accuracy of various 2019 predictions
- UK Polling Report
This site, originally created by Anthony Wells of YouGov, is a good source of up-to-date information on UK opinion polls
but contains much, much more.
- Political Betting
The site originally created by Mike Smithson is a fantastic source of up-to-date information and discussion, both reasoned and ferocious.
In its own words: "Britain's most read political blog."
- Electoral Calculus
Martin Baxter's enormously impressive site provides up to date forecasts. The integration with online resources, google maps
and constituency data is outstanding.
- Elections etc.
Stephen Fisher's site now includes occasional but in-depth articles. Stephen is a highly-respected academic who has done
much research on many British election-related topics, including the way in which the support levels for the major
British parties historically change, and are likely to change, in the run-up to General Elections.
- Peter Kellner - The Politics Counter
Peter is an award award-winning political journalist, pollster (former Chairman and President of YouGov), political editor and
and political analyst who has been an on-screen analyst on five BBC general election night results programmes.
- How did the UK General Election forecasts do in 2019?
From Stephen Fisher's site electionsetc.com - an analysis of how accurate the various election forecasting sites were in 2019. (Generally fairly accurate, and UK-Elect did better than most).
- Democracy Club
Comprehensive source of UK election data.
- Comment Is Freed
Very popular politics and foreign affairs substack from Sam and Lawrence Freedman.
- The Week In Polls
Mark Pack's substack offer in depth analyis of the latest polls and other election related topics.
Political Discussions, Forecasts, and Blogs
Note: for more, and more details, please see our UK Election Forecasting Theory, Techniques and Controversial Discussions page
- YouGov Election 2024 MRP Prediction Model Details
MRP (Multi-level Regression and Post-Stratification) is a technique that assumes similar voters in different constituencies vote in a similar way.
This link provides details about YouGov's current MRP model that uses polling data to identify common characteristics of voters in different constituencies.
- MRP: what it is and why it may, or may not, be right
Mark Pack discusses MRP in detali: what it is and why it may, or may not, be right at the next general election.
- Breaking the Swingometer: Historical Precedents for Proportional Change
Stephen Fisher of Elections Etc. considers whether traditional Uniform Swing based estimates are appropriate for the UK General Election of 2024
- Why Does Everyone Disagree on MRP?
James Kanagasooriam of UK Polling Report asks "Why Does Everyone Disagree on MRP?"
- How Grumblers And Defectors Have Laid A Trap For Our Pollsters
Peter Kellner explains his major doubts about the way in which pollsters use MRP (Multi-level Regression and Post-Stratification).
- Nigel Marriott's Blog "An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future",
Nigel discusses polling and his own techniques for election forecasting in detail, and claims remarkable accuracy at some elections.
- Election Forecasting in the UK
Academic paper by Clive Payne from 2001, discusses UK Election forecasting generally, and reviews the various statistical methods used by the BBC to forecast
different types of election in the UK in the previous thirty years.
- Exit polling in a cold climate: the BBC-ITV experience in Britain in 2005
Academic paper by John Curtice and David Firth, provides an excellent discussion about election-poll related matters, drawing on the experiences
of the BBC/ITN exit pollsters in 2005. This paper includes a mention of the Curtice/Firth method for calculating
seat win probabilities.
- Polls and the Vote in Britain
Academic paper by Christopher Wlezien, Will Jennings, Stephen Fisher, Robert Ford and Mark Pickup
discussing the evolution of electoral sentiment over British electoral cycles.
Contends that polls from early in the electoral cycle contain much information about the final outcome.
- Predictable and unpredictable changes in party support:
A method for long-range daily election forecasting from opinion polls
Academic paper by Stephen Fisher, outlines several methods for forecasting the next British general election on
a daily basis from twenty months prior using opinion polls. Stephen's website is elections etc.
- European Union Website Official
European Union website, contains an enormous amount of information about the
EU. Whatever you want to know about Europe, it's probably on that site!
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